About Us

Disciplined Reasoning.
Quantitative Edge.

Oracle Trading is the University of Chicago's premier prediction markets trading and research club — where intellectual rigor meets real-money market participation.

Structure

Four Desks

01 — DISCRETIONARY

Discretionary

Human judgment-driven research and position-taking. Members pitch and vote on positions based on original analysis of political, macro, and scientific prediction markets.

02 — CROSS PLATFORM

Cross Platform

Relative-value and arbitrage strategies that exploit pricing discrepancies across Polymarket, Kalshi, and other prediction market venues simultaneously.

03 — ALGORITHMIC

Algorithmic

Systematic, backtested frameworks that execute without discretionary intervention. Models process polling data, news flow, and economic releases to generate trading signals at scale.

04 — HIGH FREQUENCY

High Frequency

Latency-sensitive execution powered by Boostrun's compute cluster: 8 NVIDIA L40 GPUs, 30TB of storage, and 15,000 GB of RAM. Strategies operate at machine timescales on deep-liquidity CLOBs, with optimized signal processing and execution pipelines.

Education

New Member Education Curriculum

Our new member curriculum is designed to take any smart, curious student from zero to capable prediction market trader in one quarter. No prior quantitative or finance background is needed.

Polymarket Education

How prediction markets work, order books, liquidity, bid-ask spreads, and the mechanics of CLOB-based platforms like Polymarket.

Python for Quant Analysis and Statistical Modelling

Python fundamentals through applied data analysis — scraping, cleaning, modelling market data, regression analysis, time series, and building quantitative models to inform position-taking.

Applications Open

Our next intake is TBD. We recruit quarterly. We look for intellectual curiosity and the desire to think in probabilities.